The National Weather Service is closely monitoring Tropical Depression Two a slow-moving system currently located about 170 miles southeast of Panama City, Florida. As of 1:59 PM CDT on Sunday, July 19, 2026 the depression is creeping north-northwest at a mere 1 mph (2 km/h) with maximum sustained winds of 30 mph (45 km/h).
The system’s slow movement and potential for intensification have prompted a Tropical Storm Watch from the Ochlockonee River to the Florida-Alabama border. Residents in these areas should prepare for possible tropical storm conditions by late Monday.
Current Track and Intensity Forecast
The center of Tropical Depression Two was last located near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 85.0 West with a minimum central pressure of 1011 mb (29.86 inches). The depression is expected to continue its slow northwestward or north-northwestward motion over the next day or two, followed by a turn toward the west.
Forecasters predict gradual strengthening with the depression likely becoming a tropical storm either tonight or on Monday. The system’s slow movement could lead to prolonged periods of heavy rain and potential flooding along the northern Gulf Coast.
Potential Hazards: Wind, Storm Surge, and Rainfall
While the current wind speeds are relatively low, tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by late Monday. The combination of storm surge and the tide could cause coastal flooding, with water levels reaching 1 to 3 feet above ground from Indian Pass to Chassahowitzka, Florida.
The depression is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rainfall along the eastern and central Gulf Coast, with locally higher totals around 8 inches through Thursday. This heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding particularly in urban areas.
Storm Surge and Flooding Risks
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast, with surge-related flooding depending on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle. For the most accurate and up-to-date information, residents should consult products issued by their local National Weather Service forecast office.
To visualize the potential impact, the National Weather Service has provided a Peak Storm Surge Graphic and a Storm Total Rainfall Graphic both available at hurricanes.gov.
As Tropical Depression Two continues to approach the Gulf Coast, residents in the watch area should monitor updates from the National Weather Service and local authorities. Preparations should include securing loose outdoor items, reviewing evacuation plans, and ensuring access to emergency supplies.
The next complete advisory from the National Hurricane Center is expected at 4:00 PM CDT. In the meantime, stay informed and take necessary precautions to stay safe during this potentially hazardous weather event.
